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First of all we need to gain a thorough insight in the P2PTV technology; it’s functioning, why

and how it differs from other streaming techniques, its current status and the possibilities

the P2PTV technology brings. This will be done by extensive literature research. This will be

done in Chapter 2 and answer the first sub question.

• Then an insight in the current television industry is needed, identifying all actors within the

value chain of the current television industry and researching the revenue creation

processes of the key actors. For the identification of the actors we will be using literature

research on the subject and perform an actor- and network analysis. From there we are able

to study the revenue models of the key supplying actors within the television industry in

order to establish how they create revenue in the television industry is at this time. This will

be presented in Chapter 3 and answer sub question 2. The insights gained in this chapter

determine the actors to which we will aim the risk framework and therefore determine

elements of the framework design.

• After this in Chapter 4 we will introduce a set of different possible futures that are possible

for the use of P2PTV in the television industry. First the different trends of watching

television and hardware advancements are introduced. After which two dimensions are

described that influence the use of P2PTV in the near future and several assumptions are

addressed. This will give us a steppingstone for the creation of what-if scenarios and the

Match Schedule

Almeria vs Malaga

Competition: Soccer Regular Season 2013,

Date: Saturday February 22, 2014

Time: 21:00 GMT (+0)

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scenario based analysis of risks and opportunities we will perform in Chapter 6 and answer

sub question 3. Also this will determine several elements in the risk framework design.

• The risk framework should give an oversight of the risks and opportunities of P2PTV for the

television industry. In chapter 5 we will present the design of the risk framework that will be

filled with the results from the coming scenario based analysis of risks and opportunities. In

the previous chapters we have identified the elements that are needed in the risk

framework. For the design of this framework we will be basing ourselves on the design

techniques that are taught throughout the complete SEPAM curriculum. We will describe

the working of the framework and its use as decision support tool.

• We then perform a scenario based analysis of the risks and opportunities that arise from the

use of P2PTV within the different possible futures we defined. We will describe why and how

the future of the television might change based on the possible near futures we have

identified. During the analysis we will assess the possible changes in the actor network and

the different revenue models that P2PTV can have per what-if scenario and so identify the

risks and opportunities for the key actors that come from these changes. The risks and

opportunities that are identified in the analysis of risks and opportunities serve as the input

for the risk framework that we aim to design. This will be done in Chapter 6, answering sub

question 4. In P2PTV systems every user that is downloading content simultaneously uploads the same content

to other users who want to receive that content. This means that the more users are downloading a

stream, the bigger the overall capacity of available bandwidth that is available for the distribution of

the content becomes, as every additional viewer becomes a serving node and his upload capacity is

added to the overall bandwidth. Effectively this could mean that every single user could be served

the same content at the same time, but there are still some limitations to this, like consumer upload

capacity, as we will discuss in the next section.

The more users in a P2PTV network are downloading and participating in a stream, the bigger the

overall available bandwidth gets. However the speed at which the stream is propagated between

peers depends on the upload capacity of every peer. With the current standards for consumer

broadband internet connections, which can by either ADSL(2+) or cable connections, the upload

capacity is typically capped at 1 Mbps. These are typically asymmetric connections, meaning that the

download capacity is higher than the upload capacity. As the demand for bandwidth keeps growing

new technical improvements are planned by telecom companies, which have already started to

upgrade their VDSL components, and the arrival of fibre-optical solutions, that could provide the

consumers with symmetrical connections up to 100Mbps in simultaneous up- and download. Even

connections with a 10 Mbps upload capacity would make it possible for every single connection to

offer HDTV quality streams over the internet while being able to fulfil all tracker functions

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With the arrival and growing use of the internet, this medium has presented itself as an option for

the distribution of video content. As we have discovered in earlier chapters this is currently done in

three ways:

1) The ability to watch content on demand from a content aggregator’s server through a (their)

web portal after this has been aired on their channel (video-on-demand).

2) During live events when an aggregator has acquired the appropriate licenses for the online

distribution of that event, in real time.

3) The use of IPTV (real time) for digital content distribution over access networks that support

the IP protocol.

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Friday, 21 February 2014

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